UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Lees-McRae 2
  
Lees-McRae            
W-L: ( 1- 8) PR = 71.7975

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H Emory & Henry South Atlanti ( 3- 9, 73.4) 16-17 221 H Belmont Abbey Carolinas ( 8- 5, 86.1) 6-18 301 H Mount Olive Carolinas ( 8- 4, 87.7) 2-22 307 A Barton Carolinas ( 5- 7, 80.3) 3-21 314 A Southern Wesleyan Carolinas ( 2-10, 73.7) 11-12 320 A Lake Erie Great Midwest ( 1-12, 70.3) 17-18 322 A Ursuline Great Midwest ( 0- 8, 66.7) 16- 2 325 H Converse Carolinas ( 6- 8, 82.1) 7-23 328 A Shorter Carolinas ( 2- 6, 76.8) 14-20 411 H Emmanuel (GA) Carolinas ( 5- 7, 82.3) 416 A North Greenville Carolinas ( 5- 9, 81.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Emory & Henry          16-17      -1    -1           0.21
   221 H Belmont Abbey           6-18     -12   -14           0.00
   301 H Mount Olive             2-22     -20   -16           0.00
   307 A Barton                  3-21     -18    -9           0.00
   314 A Southern Wesleyan      11-12      -1    -2           1.32
   320 A Lake Erie              17-18      -1     1    -     -2.07
   322 A Ursuline               16- 2      14     5           0.32
   325 H Converse                7-23     -16   -10           0.00
   328 A Shorter                14-20      -6    -5           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Lake Erie              17-18      -1     1    -     -2.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Lees-McRae Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alabama-Huntsville
American International American International   American International
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ashland Ashland insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Ashland
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Barton Barton  
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey  
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Bridgeport tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bridgeport
Caldwell Caldwell   Caldwell
Catawba Catawba Catawba   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Charleston Charleston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charleston
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill   Chestnut Hill
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Coker Coker   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Converse Converse Converse  
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville D'Youville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) D'Youville
Daemen Daemen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Daemen
Davenport Davenport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Davenport
Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Davis & Elkins
District of Columbia Lees-McRae   Lees-McRae
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)   Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Edinboro insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Edinboro
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA)   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Emory & Henry Emory & Henry Emory & Henry  
Felician Felician   Felician
Findlay Findlay insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Findlay
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern   Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Fort Lewis   Fort Lewis
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State   Frostburg State
Gannon Gannon   Gannon
Georgian Court Georgian Court insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State   Grand Valley State
Holy Family Holy Family   Holy Family
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA)   Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Lake Erie Lake Erie  
Lander Lander insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lander
Lee Lee insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Lee
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lewis Lewis   Lewis
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lock Haven Lock Haven   Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Malone insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Malone
Mars Hill Mars Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Mars Hill
Maryville Maryville   Maryville
McKendree McKendree   McKendree
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Molloy   Molloy
Montevallo Montevallo insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Montevallo
Mount Olive Mount Olive Mount Olive  
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry Newberry   2- 1 vs 0- 3
North Greenville North Greenville North Greenville   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Northwood insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Northwood
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Post   Post
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan   Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst Rockhurst   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Rollins Rollins   Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Saginaw Valley State   Saginaw Valley State
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Shorter Shorter  
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Southern Wesleyan Southern Wesleyan  
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo   St Leo
St Michaels St Michaels   St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Lees-McRae   Lees-McRae
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Thomas More   Thomas More
Tiffin Tiffin insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Tiffin
Tusculum Tusculum insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tusculum
Ursuline Lees-McRae Lees-McRae  
UVA Wise UVA Wise UVA Wise   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Virginia State Virginia State   Virginia State
Walsh Walsh insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Walsh
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Lees-McRae   Lees-McRae
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wheeling
William Jewell William Jewell   William Jewell
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE)   Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate Wingate   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Young Harris Young Harris Young Harris   5- 0 vs 0- 5

PowerWise = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Emory & Henry   ( 3- 9, 73.4)    16-17      -26.49       6.70      -0.41         1.23           -32.98
   0 H Belmont Abbey   ( 8- 5, 86.1)     6-18      -13.80      19.39      -0.41         1.23           -17.42
   0 H Mount Olive     ( 8- 4, 87.7)     2-22      -12.15      21.04      -0.41         1.23           -15.40
   0 A Barton          ( 5- 7, 80.3)     3-21      -19.62      13.57       0.41         1.23           -23.56
   0 A Southern Wesle  ( 2-10, 73.7)    11-12      -26.19       7.00       0.41         1.23           -31.62
   0 A Lake Erie       ( 1-12, 70.3)    17-18      -29.58       3.61       0.41         1.23           -35.77
   0 A Ursuline        ( 0- 8, 66.7)    16- 2      -33.19       1.00       0.41         1.23             1.72
   0 H Converse        ( 6- 8, 82.1)     7-23      -17.82      15.37      -0.41         1.23           -22.35
   0 A Shorter         ( 2- 6, 76.8)    14-20      -23.11      10.08       0.41         1.23           -27.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -205.21

winning pts = 1.7244 losing points = -206.9344

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------